The Big Picture
Recovery, reflation and political uncertainties

November 30, 2016
  • Global economy in synchronised recovery going into 2017
  • Reflation taking place in the US - less so in the euro area
  • Trump will ease fiscal policy - but ef fect to be small in 2017
  • European political uncertainty central in the coming year
  • The Fed to move rates very slowly, ECB to extend QE on low core inflation
  • China in recovery now but risks to resurface in 2017
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